Endpoint · evidenceGETstraits.live /api/premium/risk-premium
Strait of Hormuz war-risk transit premium nowcast: a live MODELED war-risk insurance multiple (Nx over the peace baseline, on the published 1x-80x scale) for moving a tanker…
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Strait of Hormuz war-risk transit premium nowcast: a live MODELED war-risk insurance multiple (Nx over the peace baseline, on the published 1x-80x scale) for moving a tanker through the strait, recomputed every 5 minutes from throughput deviation (IMF PortWatch), the escalation forecast (Polymarket + Kalshi + Manifold + Brent-WTI spread), crude implied volatility (OVX), and event pressure (news and maritime RSS feeds, the PGSA incident feed and GDELT). The standing straits.live insurance-estimate multiple is carried only as a static reference (it is set manually and changes infrequently); the modeled figure is the live signal, not a divergence from that anchor. Returns a band, a curated VLCC war-premium band ($/voyage, estimated separately from the modeled multiple and not derived from it), per-driver detail, and a confidence that degrades on stale feeds or thin market volume. A modeled situational-awareness indicator, not an insurance quote.Overview
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https://straits.live/api/premium/risk-premium
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npx teppi-check https://straits.live/api/premium/risk-premiumcurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M3NV25GVXH64K8GDACTVYXY2