btc-realised-volatility-term-structure

Annualised realised-volatility estimates over retained 1-hour, 24-hour and 7-day Bitcoin observation windows with minimum-history and coverage gates.

Annualised realised-volatility estimates over retained 1-hour, 24-hour and 7-day Bitcoin observation windows with minimum-history and coverage gates. Purpose: Compare short and longer Bitcoin realised-volatility horizons using retained point-in-time observations without substituting options implied volatility. 5-minute freshness target; missing evidence is reported explicitly rather than invented.

UNRATEDListed

Overview

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UNRATED

0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter

Price

$0.01 per call

Paid calls

none yet

delivery unknown until someone pays

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Seller?

0x7d9c21ac…7a3ecb5b

URL

https://pay.edge-agents.ai/v1/services/btc-realised-volatility-term-structure

MCP server on this host: ai.edge-agents/intelligence

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first 19 days ago · last 17 hr ago

35 free handshakes

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x402

Offered on?

Polygon, Arbitrum, Base USDC, Solana

Listed on?

Polygon, Arbitrum, Base, Solana

Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.6

UN
RATED

0.572 liveness verified, no letter

To a letter · 30 paid calls

0 of 30

Held back by sample size, not by the seller · gap to 1.000 is 0.428: 0.319 uncertain ? + 0.108 short ? · 0.078 to C

How the composite of 0.572 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
livenesscosts the most it answered at all	0.60	0.91	0.621		0.372	−0.057	−0.171
latency p95 it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.74	0.000		0.000	−0.051	−0.149
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.572	gap to 1.000 = 0.428 · 0.108 short · 0.319 uncertain	0.572	−0.108	−0.319

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

The multiplication, written out

  0.600 × 0.621   liveness       
+ 0.200 × 0.000   latency p95    
+ 0.200 × 1.000   price stability
= 0.572           → UNRATED: 27 of 30 paid calls      weights 2026.09.6 · 27 samples · seed cap_01M2HSGK7EKHMKGVBNVX2NZA7W|2026-08-30T03:49:23.472Z|2026.09.6

Verify it yourselfnpx teppi-check https://pay.edge-agents.ai/v1/services/btc-realised-volatility-term-structurecurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M2HSGK7EKHMKGVBNVX2NZA7W