btc-realised-volatility-term-structure

Annualised realised-volatility estimates over retained 1-hour, 24-hour and 7-day Bitcoin observation windows with minimum-history and coverage gates.

Annualised realised-volatility estimates over retained 1-hour, 24-hour and 7-day Bitcoin observation windows with minimum-history and coverage gates. Purpose: Compare short and longer Bitcoin realised-volatility horizons using retained point-in-time observations without substituting options implied volatility. 5-minute freshness target; missing evidence is reported explicitly rather than invented.

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first 19 days ago · last 17 hr ago

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Polygon, Arbitrum, Base USDC, Solana

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Polygon, Arbitrum, Base, Solana

Handshakescomputed 5 days ago

0.572 from 27 free handshakes over 30 days · UNRATED ?

How the composite of 0.572 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
livenesscosts the most it answered at all	0.60	0.91	0.621		0.372	−0.057	−0.171
latency p95 it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.74	0.000		0.000	−0.051	−0.149
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.572	gap to 1.000 = 0.428 · 0.108 short · 0.319 uncertain	0.572	−0.108	−0.319

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

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