Endpoint · evidenceGETapi.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/options/btc

BTC risk-neutral price distributions at 12 horizons via Breeden-Litzenberger from SVI surfaces — quantiles, P(up/down 10/20%), sigma ranges, skewness — Ed25519 signed attestation

UNRATEDDelisted

Overview

Grade?

UNRATED

0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter

Price

$0.50 per call

Paid calls

none yet

delivery unknown until someone pays

More info

Seller?

0xd593832c…4e96700d

URL

https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/options/btc

Seen

first 34 days ago · last 26 days ago

29 free handshakes

Payment

Pays through

x402

Offered on?

Base USDC

Listed on?

Base

Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.1

UN
RATED

0.684 liveness verified, no letter

To a letter · 30 paid calls

0 of 30

Held down by latency p95 · gap to 1.000 is 0.316: 0.133 uncertain ? + 0.184 short ? · 0.116 to B

How the composite of 0.684 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.08	0.077		0.015	−0.184	−0.001
liveness it answered at all	0.60	1.00	0.780		0.468	0	−0.132
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.684	gap to 1.000 = 0.316 · 0.184 short · 0.133 uncertain	0.684	−0.184	−0.133

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

The multiplication, written out

  0.200 × 0.077   latency p95    
+ 0.600 × 0.780   liveness       
+ 0.200 × 1.000   price stability
= 0.684           → UNRATED: 28 of 30 paid calls      weights 2026.09.1 · 28 samples · seed cap_01M1A5Q69XGC2HQP0P66VB0D47|2026-08-15T21:06:38.212Z|2026.09.1

Verify it yourselfnpx teppi-check https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/options/btccurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5Q69XGC2HQP0P66VB0D47