Endpoint · evidenceGETapi.myceliasignal.com /oracle/prediction/options/btc
BTC risk-neutral price distributions at 12 horizons via Breeden-Litzenberger from SVI surfaces — quantiles, P(up/down 10/20%), sigma ranges, skewness — Ed25519 signed attestation
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UNRATED
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https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/options/btc
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first 34 days ago · last 26 days ago
29 free handshakes
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Handshakescomputed 19 days ago
0.684 from 28 free handshakes over 30 days · UNRATED ?
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.08 | 0.077 | 0.015 | −0.184 | −0.001 | |
| liveness it answered at all |
0.60 | 1.00 | 0.780 | 0.468 | 0 | −0.132 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.684 | gap to 1.000 = 0.316 · 0.184 short · 0.133 uncertain | 0.684 | −0.184 | −0.133 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
BURN_INFREE_TIER_ONLY
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npx teppi-check https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/options/btccurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5Q69XGC2HQP0P66VB0D47