Endpoint · lookupPOSTgraphadvocate.com /kalshi/consensus-trend
Kalshi consensus-probability trajectory.
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Kalshi consensus-probability trajectory. POST {event}. Wraps Kalshi's unique /events/{ticker}/forecast_history (no other PM exposes formatted forecast percentile history). Returns slope-per-hour over 24h and 3d, acceleration signal (regime change indicator), volatility band, days to resolve, and a stable/accelerating-up/accelerating-down interpretation.Overview
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first 35 days ago · last 15 hr ago
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Handshakescomputed 1 day ago
0.840 from 46 free handshakes over 30 days · UNRATED ?
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| livenesscosts the most it answered at all |
0.60 | 1.00 | 0.866 | 0.520 | 0 | −0.080 | |
| latency p95 it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.61 | 0.601 | 0.120 | −0.078 | −0.002 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.840 | gap to 1.000 = 0.160 · 0.078 short · 0.082 uncertain | 0.840 | −0.078 | −0.082 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
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npx teppi-check https://graphadvocate.com/kalshi/consensus-trendcurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5AD7QS6DM15MYR8J7NRGK