Endpoint · evidenceGETpolynews.news /api/v1/election-forecast ?race=dem-nominee-2028
Grok-synthesized consensus forecast for candidate/party WINNER election markets (US and international).
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Grok-synthesized consensus forecast for candidate/party WINNER election markets (US and international). Blends live Polymarket odds (ground truth) with a polling average Grok synthesizes from multiple sources via web_search; returns per-candidate composites (equal-weight market+poll), the individual polls averaged into each candidate (verifiable), and cited sources. Target a market with a registered 'race' key or any Polymarket election event 'slug'.Overview
Grade?
UNRATED
0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter
Price
$0.06 per call
Paid calls
none yet
delivery unknown until someone pays
More info
Seller?
URL
https://polynews.news/api/v1/election-forecast?race=dem-nominee-2028
Seen
first 35 days ago · last 35 days ago
14 free handshakes
Payment
Pays through
x402
Offered on?
Base USDC, Solana
Listed on?
Base, Solana
Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.08.1
UN
RATED
RATED
0.662 liveness verified, no letter
To a letter · 30 paid calls
0 of 30
Held down by latency p95 · gap to 1.000 is 0.338: 0.138 uncertain ? + 0.200 short ? · 0.138 to B
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.200 | 0 | |
| liveness it answered at all |
0.60 | 1.00 | 0.771 | 0.462 | 0 | −0.138 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.662 | gap to 1.000 = 0.338 · 0.200 short · 0.138 uncertain | 0.662 | −0.200 | −0.138 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
The multiplication, written out
0.200 × 0.000 latency p95
+ 0.600 × 0.771 liveness
+ 0.200 × 1.000 price stability
= 0.662 → UNRATED: 13 of 30 paid calls weights 2026.08.1 · 13 samples · seed cap_01M1A5A9Z2RQXET8BTSAJTKWSS|2026-08-07T21:03:44.662Z|2026.08.1
Verify it yourself
npx teppi-check https://polynews.news/api/v1/election-forecast?race=dem-nominee-2028curl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5A9Z2RQXET8BTSAJTKWSS