Endpoint · evidenceGETpolynews.news /api/v1/election-forecast ?race=dem-nominee-2028
Grok-synthesized consensus forecast for candidate/party WINNER election markets (US and international).
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Grok-synthesized consensus forecast for candidate/party WINNER election markets (US and international). Blends live Polymarket odds (ground truth) with a polling average Grok synthesizes from multiple sources via web_search; returns per-candidate composites (equal-weight market+poll), the individual polls averaged into each candidate (verifiable), and cited sources. Target a market with a registered 'race' key or any Polymarket election event 'slug'.Overview
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UNRATED
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URL
https://polynews.news/api/v1/election-forecast?race=dem-nominee-2028
Seen
first 34 days ago · last 34 days ago
14 free handshakes
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x402
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Base USDC, Solana
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Base, Solana
Handshakescomputed 27 days ago
0.662 from 13 free handshakes over 30 days · UNRATED ?
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.200 | 0 | |
| liveness it answered at all |
0.60 | 1.00 | 0.771 | 0.462 | 0 | −0.138 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.662 | gap to 1.000 = 0.338 · 0.200 short · 0.138 uncertain | 0.662 | −0.200 | −0.138 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
BURN_INFREE_TIER_ONLY
Verify it yourself
npx teppi-check https://polynews.news/api/v1/election-forecast?race=dem-nominee-2028curl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5A9Z2RQXET8BTSAJTKWSS