3-month-treasury-bill-secondary-market-rate-discount-basis?date_from=2024-01-01&date_to=2024-12-31&fmt=json

Short-term risk-free rate based on 3-month Treasury bills.

Short-term risk-free rate based on 3-month Treasury bills. Used as the short rate in the NY Fed recession probability model. Liquid, minimal credit risk. Key input for the 10Y-3M yield spread, which has the strongest historical recession prediction record. Daily frequency.

UNRATEDListed

Overview

Grade?

UNRATED

0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter

Price

$0.005 per call

Paid calls

none yet

delivery unknown until someone pays

More info

Seller?

0x22f7e951…8c425b3a

URL

https://stationfx.com/economic-data/interest-rates/3-month-treasury-bill-secondary-market-rate-discount-basis?date_from=2024-01-01&date_to=2024-12-31&fmt=json

Seen

first 11 days ago · last 17 hr ago

19 free handshakes

Payment

Pays through

x402

Offered on?

Base USDC

Listed on?

Base

Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.6

UN
RATED

0.555 liveness verified, no letter

To a letter · 30 paid calls

0 of 30

Held back by sample size, not by the seller · gap to 1.000 is 0.445: 0.269 uncertain ? + 0.176 short ? · 0.095 to C

How the composite of 0.555 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
livenesscosts the most it answered at all	0.60	0.89	0.443		0.266	−0.065	−0.269
latency p95 it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.44	0.444		0.089	−0.111	0
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.555	gap to 1.000 = 0.445 · 0.176 short · 0.269 uncertain	0.555	−0.176	−0.269

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

The multiplication, written out

  0.600 × 0.443   liveness       
+ 0.200 × 0.444   latency p95    
+ 0.200 × 1.000   price stability
= 0.555           → UNRATED: 16 of 30 paid calls      weights 2026.09.6 · 16 samples · seed cap_01M36CPEDBDR7K2XHTM9Z2N78P|2026-09-02T06:00:55.958Z|2026.09.6

Verify it yourself

npx teppi-check https://stationfx.com/economic-data/interest-rates/3-month-treasury-bill-secondary-market-rate-discount-basis?date_from=2024-01-01&date_to=2024-12-31&fmt=json

curl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M36CPEDBDR7K2XHTM9Z2N78P