triad

Historical measurement dataset for Kalshi event contracts.

Historical measurement dataset for Kalshi event contracts. Records the mean difference between fill price and prevailing quote at time of fill, in cents per contract, grouped by time to resolution, across 147k+ observations. Aggregate and 24-hour lagged; never per-contract, identical for every caller. Observed historical data only. Not trading advice - full notice in response.

UNRATEDListed

Overview

Grade?

UNRATED

0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter

Price

$0.02 per call

Paid calls

none yet

delivery unknown until someone pays

More info

Seller?

0x5018b3f7…53ac1d4f

URL

https://intel.opusai.work/v1/triad

Seen

first 16 days ago · last 9 days ago

20 free handshakes

Payment

Pays through

x402

Offered on?

Base USDC

Listed on?

Base

Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.6

UN
RATED

0.317 liveness verified, no letter

To a letter · 30 paid calls

0 of 30

Held down by liveness · gap to 1.000 is 0.683: 0.202 uncertain ? + 0.482 short ? · 0.133 to D

How the composite of 0.317 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
livenesscosts the most it answered at all	0.60	0.53	0.195		0.117	−0.282	−0.202
latency p95 it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.00	0.000		0.000	−0.200	0
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.317	gap to 1.000 = 0.683 · 0.482 short · 0.202 uncertain	0.317	−0.482	−0.202

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

The multiplication, written out

  0.600 × 0.195   liveness       
+ 0.200 × 0.000   latency p95    
+ 0.200 × 1.000   price stability
= 0.317           → UNRATED: 20 of 30 paid calls      weights 2026.09.6 · 20 samples · seed cap_01M2SGPFRMPKAPT4QBTGQDVSP8|2026-09-04T00:21:52.302Z|2026.09.6

Verify it yourselfnpx teppi-check https://intel.opusai.work/v1/triadcurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M2SGPFRMPKAPT4QBTGQDVSP8