us-yield-curve-regime

Joint classification of direct 2s10s and 3m10y Treasury curve slopes and recent steepening/flattening behaviour.

Joint classification of direct 2s10s and 3m10y Treasury curve slopes and recent steepening/flattening behaviour. Purpose: Classify the current US Treasury curve regime without treating inversion alone as a deterministic recession forecast. 6-hour freshness target; missing evidence is reported explicitly rather than invented.

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0x7d9c21ac…7a3ecb5b

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first 18 days ago · last 18 hr ago

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Polygon, Arbitrum, Base USDC, Solana

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Polygon, Arbitrum, Base, Solana

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0.662 from 33 free handshakes over 30 days · UNRATED ?

How the composite of 0.662 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.50	0.000		0.000	−0.099	−0.101
liveness it answered at all	0.60	0.98	0.770		0.462	−0.013	−0.125
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.662	gap to 1.000 = 0.338 · 0.112 short · 0.226 uncertain	0.662	−0.112	−0.226

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

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