prediction-markets

Searches Polymarket for markets matching your terms and returns, per market, the implied probability of each outcome with the liquidity, 24-hour volume, bid-ask spread and closing…

Searches Polymarket for markets matching your terms and returns, per market, the implied probability of each outcome with the liquidity, 24-hour volume, bid-ask spread and closing date. The probability is the mid price and nothing more: on a market with little liquidity or a wide spread it says little, so both are returned next to it and a thin market is flagged rather than presented as a confident forecast.

UNRATEDDelisted

Overview

Grade?

UNRATED

0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter

Price

$0.005 per call

Paid calls

none yet

delivery unknown until someone pays

More info

Seller?

0x2880edff…771c4e5e

URL

https://finanz.halowerk.com/v1/prediction-markets

Seen

first 34 days ago · last 24 days ago

33 free handshakes

Payment

Pays through

x402

Offered on?

Base USDC

Listed on?

Base

Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.1

UN
RATED

0.302 liveness verified, no letter

To a letter · 30 paid calls

0 of 30

Held down by liveness · gap to 1.000 is 0.698: 0.161 uncertain ? + 0.537 short ? · 0.148 to D

How the composite of 0.302 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
livenesscosts the most it answered at all	0.60	0.34	0.170		0.102	−0.394	−0.104
latency p95 it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.28	0.000		0.000	−0.143	−0.057
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.302	gap to 1.000 = 0.698 · 0.537 short · 0.161 uncertain	0.302	−0.537	−0.161

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

The multiplication, written out

  0.600 × 0.170   liveness       
+ 0.200 × 0.000   latency p95    
+ 0.200 × 1.000   price stability
= 0.302           → UNRATED: 32 of 30 paid calls      weights 2026.09.1 · 32 samples · seed cap_01M1A5QFSAXXFG3WHM4JGCZCEH|2026-08-17T23:16:22.948Z|2026.09.1

Verify it yourselfnpx teppi-check https://finanz.halowerk.com/v1/prediction-marketscurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5QFSAXXFG3WHM4JGCZCEH