Endpoint · evidenceGETapi.myceliasignal.com /oracle/prediction/btc/price
BTC same-day price distribution from Polymarket — median, quantiles (p10-p90), entropy — Ed25519 signed attestation
Overview
Grade?
UNRATED
0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter
Price
$0.25 per call
Paid calls
none yet
delivery unknown until someone pays
More info
Seller?
URL
https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/btc/price
Seen
first 35 days ago · last 26 days ago
29 free handshakes
Payment
Pays through
x402
Offered on?
Base USDC
Listed on?
Base
Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.1
UN
RATED
RATED
0.673 liveness verified, no letter
To a letter · 30 paid calls
0 of 30
Held back by sample size, not by the seller · gap to 1.000 is 0.327: 0.172 uncertain ? + 0.155 short ? · 0.127 to B
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.23 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.155 | −0.045 | |
| liveness it answered at all |
0.60 | 1.00 | 0.788 | 0.473 | 0 | −0.127 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.673 | gap to 1.000 = 0.327 · 0.155 short · 0.172 uncertain | 0.673 | −0.155 | −0.172 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
The multiplication, written out
0.200 × 0.000 latency p95
+ 0.600 × 0.788 liveness
+ 0.200 × 1.000 price stability
= 0.673 → UNRATED: 29 of 30 paid calls weights 2026.09.1 · 29 samples · seed cap_01M1A5Q6AFBTYH1HW4DFJZVXVF|2026-08-15T21:37:33.669Z|2026.09.1
Verify it yourself
npx teppi-check https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/btc/pricecurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5Q6AFBTYH1HW4DFJZVXVF