Endpoint · evidenceGETapi.myceliasignal.com /oracle/prediction/fed
Fed rate probability distribution — market-implied FOMC rate path from Kalshi + Polymarket.
Read more
Fed rate probability distribution — market-implied FOMC rate path from Kalshi + Polymarket. Entropy, expected change, surprise, prob cut/hold/hike per meeting — Ed25519 signed attestationOverview
Grade?
UNRATED
0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter
Price
$0.50 per call
Paid calls
none yet
delivery unknown until someone pays
More info
Seller?
URL
https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/fed
Seen
first 34 days ago · last 26 days ago
29 free handshakes
Payment
Pays through
x402
Offered on?
Base USDC
Listed on?
Base
Handshakescomputed 19 days ago
0.673 from 29 free handshakes over 30 days · UNRATED ?
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.200 | 0 | |
| liveness it answered at all |
0.60 | 1.00 | 0.788 | 0.473 | 0 | −0.127 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.673 | gap to 1.000 = 0.327 · 0.200 short · 0.127 uncertain | 0.673 | −0.200 | −0.127 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
BURN_INFREE_TIER_ONLY
Verify it yourself
npx teppi-check https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/fedcurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5Q6A49G0N659SK1P46BXV