chokepoint-risk

SYNTHORA chokepoint-risk: SUPERCORRELATED risk verdict per maritime chokepoint (Hormuz, Suez, Panama, Bab el-Mandeb, Malacca, Gibraltar, Taiwan) — crosses REAL TRAFFIC (IMF…

SYNTHORA chokepoint-risk: SUPERCORRELATED risk verdict per maritime chokepoint (Hormuz, Suez, Panama, Bab el-Mandeb, Malacca, Gibraltar, Taiwan) — crosses REAL TRAFFIC (IMF PortWatch, canonical Polymarket resolution source) x NARRATIVE (GDELT global news spike+tone) x NAVIGABILITY (WaveWatch III sea state) into one score with confidence level. The alpha: narrative/traffic divergence (noise without disruption = market overreaction; silent disruption = early signal). Sources declared; degraded sources lower confidence. $0.05 USDC x402 Base.

UNRATEDDelisted

Overview

Grade?

UNRATED

0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter

Price

$0.05 per call

Paid calls

none yet

delivery unknown until someone pays

More info

Seller?

0x10800a5a…4b427de0

URL

https://api.hergertsynthora.com/v1/chokepoint-risk

Seen

first 34 days ago · last 17 days ago

49 free handshakes

Payment

Pays through

x402

Offered on?

Base USDC

Listed on?

Base

Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.4

UN
RATED

0.720 liveness verified, no letter

To a letter · 30 paid calls

0 of 30

Held down by latency p95 · gap to 1.000 is 0.280: 0.109 uncertain ? + 0.172 short ? · 0.080 to B

How the composite of 0.720 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.14	0.000		0.000	−0.172	−0.028
liveness it answered at all	0.60	1.00	0.866		0.520	0	−0.080
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.720	gap to 1.000 = 0.280 · 0.172 short · 0.109 uncertain	0.720	−0.172	−0.109

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

The multiplication, written out

  0.200 × 0.000   latency p95    
+ 0.600 × 0.866   liveness       
+ 0.200 × 1.000   price stability
= 0.720           → UNRATED: 46 of 30 paid calls      weights 2026.09.4 · 46 samples · seed cap_01M1A5AAKGR5W4M4MARD0CX85G|2026-08-24T19:29:49.947Z|2026.09.4

Verify it yourselfnpx teppi-check https://api.hergertsynthora.com/v1/chokepoint-riskcurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5AAKGR5W4M4MARD0CX85G