Endpoint · lookupPOSTagent402.tools /api/forecast-naive
Three textbook baseline forecasts: mean (forecast = average of history), naive (forecast = last value), drift (linear extrapolation from first to last point).
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Three textbook baseline forecasts: mean (forecast = average of history), naive (forecast = last value), drift (linear extrapolation from first to last point). Use as a sanity floor - any sophisticated method (SES, Holt, Holt-Winters) should beat the best of these on a backtest, otherwise the extra complexity isn't earning its keep. Returns point forecasts + 95% prediction intervals per Hyndman §3.1.Overview
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UNRATED
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URL
https://agent402.tools/api/forecast-naive
MCP server on this host: io.github.MikeyPetrillo/agent402
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first 35 days ago · last 14 hr ago
64 free handshakes
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x402 · MPP evm, tempo
Offered on?
algorand:wGHE2Pwdvd7S12BL5FaOP20EGYesN73ktiC1qzkkit8=, eip155:10, eip155:1329, Polygon, eip155:143, Arbitrum, eip155:42220, Avalanche, Robinhood Chain, Base USDC, Solana, stellar:pubnet, Tempo USDC.e
Listed on?
Polygon, Arbitrum, Avalanche, Base, Solana
Handshakescomputed 22 hr ago
0.734 from 56 free handshakes over 30 days · UNRATED ?
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.200 | 0 | |
| liveness it answered at all |
0.60 | 1.00 | 0.890 | 0.534 | 0 | −0.066 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.734 | gap to 1.000 = 0.266 · 0.200 short · 0.066 uncertain | 0.734 | −0.200 | −0.066 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
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Verify it yourself
npx teppi-check https://agent402.tools/api/forecast-naivecurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5A5EA7BS843DEGA52RF5Q