Endpoint · lookupGETapi.agentstools.dev /prediction/event ?query=will+X+win+the+2028+election
Cross-venue event fusion: match the SAME event across prediction venues (deterministic fuzzy title match + resolve-date proximity) and return each venue's implied probability, a…
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Cross-venue event fusion: match the SAME event across prediction venues (deterministic fuzzy title match + resolve-date proximity) and return each venue's implied probability, a money-type-weighted consensus, and a forecast-divergence signal (venue disagreement, not a tradeable arbitrage).Overview
Grade?
UNRATED
0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter
Price
$0.02 per call
Paid calls
none yet
delivery unknown until someone pays
More info
Seller?
URL
https://api.agentstools.dev/prediction/event?query=will+X+win+the+2028+election
Seen
first 34 days ago · last 18 days ago
45 free handshakes
Payment
Pays through
x402
Offered on?
Base USDC
Listed on?
Polygon, Arbitrum, Base, Solana
Disagrees with the offer
Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.4
UN
RATED
RATED
0.782 liveness verified, no letter
To a letter · 30 paid calls
0 of 30
Held down by latency p95 · gap to 1.000 is 0.218: 0.102 uncertain ? + 0.117 short ? · 0.018 to B
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.42 | 0.318 | 0.064 | −0.117 | −0.020 | |
| liveness it answered at all |
0.60 | 1.00 | 0.863 | 0.518 | 0 | −0.082 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.782 | gap to 1.000 = 0.218 · 0.117 short · 0.102 uncertain | 0.782 | −0.117 | −0.102 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
The multiplication, written out
0.200 × 0.318 latency p95
+ 0.600 × 0.863 liveness
+ 0.200 × 1.000 price stability
= 0.782 → UNRATED: 45 of 30 paid calls weights 2026.09.4 · 45 samples · seed cap_01M1A5A3Q9SW74D114QZDEJT9Q|2026-08-23T21:20:07.509Z|2026.09.4
Verify it yourself
npx teppi-check https://api.agentstools.dev/prediction/event?query=will+X+win+the+2028+electioncurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5A3Q9SW74D114QZDEJT9Q