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Daily NoFA signal from El Niño Market Watch: a deterministic, rules-based LONG/SHORT pick across 21 ENSO-sensitive assets — expected return to the strong-scenario peak, historical…
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Daily NoFA signal from El Niño Market Watch: a deterministic, rules-based LONG/SHORT pick across 21 ENSO-sensitive assets — expected return to the strong-scenario peak, historical hit-rate with Wilson 95% CI, CFTC COT crowding penalty, full rationale, plus the live paper portfolio (NAV, positions, trades). Simulation, not investment advice.Overview
Grade?
UNRATED
0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter
Price
$0.25 per call
Paid calls
none yet
delivery unknown until someone pays
More info
Seller?
URL
https://trading-perps.vercel.app/api/nofa/signal
Seen
first 35 days ago · last 14 hr ago
64 free handshakes
Payment
Pays through
x402
Offered on?
Base USDC
Listed on?
Base
Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.6
UN
RATED
RATED
0.734 liveness verified, no letter
To a letter · 30 paid calls
0 of 30
Held down by latency p95 · gap to 1.000 is 0.266: 0.066 uncertain ? + 0.200 short ? · 0.066 to B
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.200 | 0 | |
| liveness it answered at all |
0.60 | 1.00 | 0.890 | 0.534 | 0 | −0.066 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.734 | gap to 1.000 = 0.266 · 0.200 short · 0.066 uncertain | 0.734 | −0.200 | −0.066 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
The multiplication, written out
0.200 × 0.000 latency p95
+ 0.600 × 0.890 liveness
+ 0.200 × 1.000 price stability
= 0.734 → UNRATED: 56 of 30 paid calls weights 2026.09.6 · 56 samples · seed cap_01M1A5A30MA12295CQP602SNT2|2026-09-03T21:43:19.258Z|2026.09.6
Verify it yourself
npx teppi-check https://trading-perps.vercel.app/api/nofa/signalcurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A5A30MA12295CQP602SNT2