lumi_forecast_calibration

Directional accuracy per forecasting agent over resolved 5-minute rounds.

Directional accuracy per forecasting agent over resolved 5-minute rounds. Reported honestly: accuracy near 50% means no demonstrated edge. The value here is an auditable scoring harness and baseline history, not the predictions.

UNRATEDDelisted

Overview

Grade?

UNRATED

0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter

Price

$0.01 per call

Paid calls

none yet

delivery unknown until someone pays

More info

Seller?

0x7eaf3c39…854c4c5b

URL

https://app.tenna.ai/api/x402/lumi/lumi_forecast_calibration

Seen

first 34 days ago · last 21 days ago

40 free handshakes

Payment

Pays through

x402

Offered on?

Base USDC

Listed on?

Base

Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.3

UN
RATED

0.764 liveness verified, no letter

To a letter · 30 paid calls

0 of 30

Held down by latency p95 · gap to 1.000 is 0.236: 0.096 uncertain ? + 0.140 short ? · 0.036 to B

How the composite of 0.764 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.30	0.283		0.057	−0.140	−0.003
liveness it answered at all	0.60	1.00	0.846		0.508	0	−0.092
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.764	gap to 1.000 = 0.236 · 0.140 short · 0.096 uncertain	0.764	−0.140	−0.096

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

The multiplication, written out

  0.200 × 0.283   latency p95    
+ 0.600 × 0.846   liveness       
+ 0.200 × 1.000   price stability
= 0.764           → UNRATED: 40 of 30 paid calls      weights 2026.09.3 · 40 samples · seed cap_01M1A59T7SAGXF6KY29MRM11N8|2026-08-21T06:48:09.268Z|2026.09.3

Verify it yourselfnpx teppi-check https://app.tenna.ai/api/x402/lumi/lumi_forecast_calibrationcurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A59T7SAGXF6KY29MRM11N8