macro-reconcile-full

[RECONCILIATION] Market-implied against officially-realized, side by side: Kalshi implied levels versus BLS official prints, aligned indicator by indicator, with the divergence…

[RECONCILIATION] Market-implied against officially-realized, side by side: Kalshi implied levels versus BLS official prints, aligned indicator by indicator, with the divergence quantified. The alignment key is returned so you can verify the pairing yourself. We show both numbers and the gap - the reading is yours. Descriptive only, never a forecast or advice. No data -> 422 no_charge, not billed. $0.09 per call.

UNRATEDListedChain not offered

Overview

Grade?

UNRATED

0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter

Price

$0.09 per call

Paid calls

none yet

delivery unknown until someone pays

More info

Seller?

0x2d16a243…9dc4c6c3

URL

https://api.truthbear.co/gauge/macro-reconcile-full

MCP server on this host: io.github.CHANGCHINFU/mcp-gauge

Seen

first 34 days ago · last 9 hr ago

64 free handshakes

Payment

Pays through

x402

Offered on?

Base USDC

Listed on?

Base, Solana

Disagrees with the offer: Chain not offered

Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.6

UN
RATED

0.863 liveness verified, no letter

To a letter · 30 paid calls

0 of 30

Held back by sample size, not by the seller · gap to 1.000 is 0.137: 0.115 uncertain ? + 0.022 short ? · 0.037 to A

How the composite of 0.863 is made up, part by part
Component	Weight	Measured	Lower bound ?		Adds	Short ?	Uncertain ?
livenesscosts the most it answered at all	0.60	0.98	0.866		0.519	−0.014	−0.067
latency p95 it answered as fast as its class	0.20	0.96	0.720		0.144	−0.008	−0.048
price stability the price stayed where it was listed	0.20	1.00	1.000		0.200	0	0
Composite	1.00		0.863	gap to 1.000 = 0.137 · 0.022 short · 0.115 uncertain	0.863	−0.022	−0.115

Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check

The multiplication, written out

  0.600 × 0.866   liveness       
+ 0.200 × 0.720   latency p95    
+ 0.200 × 1.000   price stability
= 0.863           → UNRATED: 56 of 30 paid calls      weights 2026.09.6 · 56 samples · seed cap_01M1A59QW9RAAPQAJF04KAV08P|2026-09-03T18:34:37.187Z|2026.09.6

Verify it yourselfnpx teppi-check https://api.truthbear.co/gauge/macro-reconcile-fullcurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A59QW9RAAPQAJF04KAV08P