Endpoint · lookupGEToracle.the-undesirables.com /api/v1/arb-weather
Detect mispriced weather derivatives on Kalshi by comparing live National Weather Service forecast data against current contract pricing.
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Detect mispriced weather derivatives on Kalshi by comparing live National Weather Service forecast data against current contract pricing. Finds statistical edges in temperature, precipitation, and wind speed markets.Overview
Grade?
UNRATED
0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter
Price
$0.25 per call
Paid calls
none yet
delivery unknown until someone pays
More info
Seller?
URL
https://oracle.the-undesirables.com/api/v1/arb-weather
Seen
first 35 days ago · last 22 days ago
38 free handshakes
Payment
Pays through
x402
Offered on?
Robinhood Chain, Base USDC, Solana
Listed on?
Base, Solana
Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.2
UN
RATED
RATED
0.437 liveness verified, no letter
To a letter · 30 paid calls
0 of 30
Held down by liveness · gap to 1.000 is 0.563: 0.082 uncertain ? + 0.481 short ? · 0.013 to D
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| livenesscosts the most it answered at all |
0.60 | 0.53 | 0.396 | 0.237 | −0.281 | −0.082 | |
| latency p95 it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.200 | 0 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.437 | gap to 1.000 = 0.563 · 0.481 short · 0.082 uncertain | 0.437 | −0.481 | −0.082 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
The multiplication, written out
0.600 × 0.396 liveness
+ 0.200 × 0.000 latency p95
+ 0.200 × 1.000 price stability
= 0.437 → UNRATED: 36 of 30 paid calls weights 2026.09.2 · 36 samples · seed cap_01M1A51V1A8P8V9MHKJDSTS6MH|2026-08-19T12:30:45.987Z|2026.09.2
Verify it yourself
npx teppi-check https://oracle.the-undesirables.com/api/v1/arb-weathercurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A51V1A8P8V9MHKJDSTS6MH