Endpoint · lookupPOSTx402.fenixfoundry.com /probability
What does the market think?
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What does the market think? Ask any event question in plain English and get the implied probability from live Polymarket and Kalshi prediction markets: per-venue odds, a liquidity-weighted consensus forecast, and a cross-venue divergence flag.Overview
Grade?
UNRATED
0 of 30 paid calls toward a letter
Price
$0.015 per call
Paid calls
none yet
delivery unknown until someone pays
More info
Seller?
URL
https://x402.fenixfoundry.com/probability
Seen
first 35 days ago · last 20 hr ago
64 free handshakes
Payment
Pays through
x402
Offered on?
Base USDC
Listed on?
Base
Score, from free handshakes onlyweights 2026.09.6
UN
RATED
RATED
0.719 liveness verified, no letter
To a letter · 30 paid calls
0 of 30
Held back by sample size, not by the seller · gap to 1.000 is 0.281: 0.266 uncertain ? + 0.015 short ? · 0.081 to B
| Component | Weight | Measured | Lower bound ? | Adds | Short ? | Uncertain ? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| latency p95costs the most it answered as fast as its class |
0.20 | 1.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | −0.200 | |
| liveness it answered at all |
0.60 | 0.98 | 0.866 | 0.519 | −0.015 | −0.066 | |
| price stability the price stayed where it was listed |
0.20 | 1.00 | 1.000 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 | |
| Composite | 1.00 | 0.719 | gap to 1.000 = 0.281 · 0.015 short · 0.266 uncertain | 0.719 | −0.015 | −0.266 |
Not measured: correctness · nobody paid; honesty · nobody paid; schema conformance · no answer had a published shape to check
The multiplication, written out
0.200 × 0.000 latency p95
+ 0.600 × 0.866 liveness
+ 0.200 × 1.000 price stability
= 0.719 → UNRATED: 56 of 30 paid calls weights 2026.09.6 · 56 samples · seed cap_01M1A51PFSFTNW645YG90YJA0X|2026-09-03T14:22:48.128Z|2026.09.6
Verify it yourself
npx teppi-check https://x402.fenixfoundry.com/probabilitycurl -s https://api.teppi.xyz/v1/trust/cap_01M1A51PFSFTNW645YG90YJA0X